WASHINGTON (AP) â€" Entering 2012, President Barack Obama's re-election prospects are radically a 50-50 proposition, with a infancy observant a boss deserves to be voted out of bureau notwithstanding concerns about a Republican alternatives, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll.
Obama's altogether check numbers advise he could be in danger of losing even as a public's opinion on a economy appears to be improving, a AP-GfK check found. For a initial time given spring, some-more pronounced a economy got softened in a past month than pronounced it got worse. The president's approval rating on stagnation shifted ceiling â€" from 40 percent in Oct to 45 percent in a latest check â€" as a jobless rate fell to 8.6 percent final month, a lowest turn given Mar 2009.
But Obama's capitulation rating on his doing of a economy altogether stays stagnant: 39 percent approve and 60 percent disapprove.
Heading into his re-election campaign, a boss faces a conflicted open that does not support his steering of a economy, a many widespread emanate for Americans, or his reforms to health care, one of his signature accomplishments, nonetheless are grappling with either to reinstate him with Republican contenders Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich.
The check found an even order on either Americans design Obama to be re-elected subsequent year.
For a initial time, a check found that a infancy of adults, 52 percent, pronounced Obama should be voted out of bureau while 43 percent pronounced he deserves another term. The numbers symbol a annulment given final May, when 53 percent pronounced Obama should be re-elected while 43 percent pronounced he didn't merit 4 some-more years.
Obama's altogether pursuit capitulation stands during a new low: 44 percent approve while 54 percent disapprove. The president's station among independents is worse: 38 percent approve while 59 percent disapprove. Among Democrats, a boss binds plain with an capitulation rating of 78 percent while usually 12 percent of Republicans approve of a pursuit he's doing.
"I consider he's doing a best he can. The problem is a Congress won't assistance during all," pronounced Rosario Navarro, a Democrat and a 44-year-old lorry motorist from Fresno, Calif., who voted for Obama in 2008 and intends to support him again.
Robin Dein, a 54-year-old housewife from Villanova, Pa., who is an independent, pronounced she upheld Republican John McCain in 2008 and has not been tender with Obama's mercantile policies. She intends to support Romney if he wins a GOP nomination.
"(Obama) spent a initial partial of his presidency blaming Bush for everything, not that he was innocent, and now his approach of elucidate anything is by spending some-more money," she said.
Despite a soothing turn of support, many are capricious either a Republican boss would be a softened choice. Asked whom they would support subsequent November, 47 percent of adults adored Obama compared with 46 percent for Romney, a former Massachusetts governor. Against Gingrich, a boss binds a plain advantage, receiving 51 percent compared with 42 percent for a former House speaker.
The intensity matchups paint a softened design for a boss among independents. Obama receives 45 percent of non-aligned adults compared with 41 percent for Romney. Against Gingrich, Obama binds a far-reaching lead among independents, with 54 percent ancillary a boss and 31 percent subsidy a former Georgia congressman.
Another square of good news for Obama: people generally like him personally. Obama's personal favorability rating hold plain during 53 percent, with 46 percent observation him unfavorably. About three-quarters called him likable.
The economy stays a source of pessimism, nonetheless a check suggests a initial certain transformation in open opinion on a economy in months. One in 5 pronounced a economy softened in a final month, double a share observant so in October. Still many design it to stay a same or get worse.
"I suspect we could make some arrange of evidence that it's removing better, though I'm not certain we even see that," pronounced eccentric voter John Bailey, a 61-year-old preparation consultant from East Jordan, Mich. "I consider it's bad and it's gotten worse underneath (Obama's) policies. At best, it's going to stay bad."
Despite a high rate of joblessness, a check found some confidence on a economy. Although 80 percent described a economy as "poor," respondents describing it "very poor" fell from 43 percent in Oct to 34 percent in a latest poll, a lowest given May. Twenty percent pronounced a economy got softened in a past month while 37 percent pronounced they approaching a economy to urge subsequent year.
Yet copiousness of warning signs sojourn for Obama. Only 26 percent pronounced a United States is headed in a right instruction while 70 percent pronounced a nation was relocating in a wrong direction.
The boss won a estimable series of women electorate in 2008 nonetheless there does not seem to be a poignant lean toward Obama among women now. The check found 44 percent of women contend Obama deserves a second term, down from 51 percent in October, while 43 percent of group contend a boss should be re-elected.
About two-thirds of white electorate but college degrees contend Obama should be a one-term president, while 33 percent of those electorate contend he should get another 4 years. Among white electorate with a college degree, 57 percent pronounced Obama should be voted out of office.
The check found unpopularity for final year's health caring remodel bill, one of Obama's vital accomplishments. About half of a respondents conflict a health caring law and support for it dipped to 29 percent from 36 percent in June. Just 15 percent pronounced a sovereign supervision should have a energy to need all Americans to buy health insurance.
Even among Democrats, a health caring law has temperate support. Fifty percent of Democrats upheld a health caring law, compared with 59 percent of Democrats final June. Only about a entertain of independents behind a law.
The boss has taken a some-more populist tinge in his doing of a economy, arguing that a rich should compensate some-more in taxes to assistance compensate for a prolongation of a payroll taxation cut that would yield about $1,000 in taxation cuts to a family earning about $50,000 a year. Among those with annual domicile incomes of $50,000 or less, Obama's capitulation rating on stagnation climbed to 53 percent, from 43 percent in October.
The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted Dec 8-12 2011 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It concerned landline and cellphone interviews with 1,000 adults national and has a domain of sampling blunder of and or reduction 4 commission points.
___
Associated Press author Stacy A. Anderson and News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius contributed to this report.
___
Online: www.ap-gfkpoll.com
News referensi http://news.yahoo.com/ap-gfk-poll-more-half-obama-lose-101942213.html
No comments:
Post a Comment